{"id":1582,"date":"2018-09-02T21:05:18","date_gmt":"2018-09-02T21:05:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/?page_id=1582"},"modified":"2019-03-02T22:24:03","modified_gmt":"2019-03-02T22:24:03","slug":"everything-is-ok","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/?page_id=1582","title":{"rendered":"Everything is OK"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Don&#8217;t Worry; Be Happy<\/span><\/h4>\n<h6><span style=\"color: #003366;\"><strong>A book by V. Smil: Energy Transitions:<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n<p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Quote about the book &#8220;&#8230; an explanation of why efforts to limit global warming and to shift away from fossil fuels have been gradual&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">The implication (as I read it) is gradual change from fossil fuels to renewables is being monitored by experts &#8230; (and therefore things are OK?). Does Smil say &#8220;Everything is OK&#8221;? <strong>No<\/strong>. But people may read his expert work, and analysis, and mistakenly guess that things are OK. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Here is the trouble with reliance on renewable energy; it is expanding far too slowly to offset CO2 output and destructive climate change. Storage remains a cost barrier.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/nice-try.jpg\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #003366;\"><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>Fossil Fuel Growth<\/strong><\/span>: A gradual transition away from fossil fuels is not OK. The US eia projects fossil fuel use will continue to grow through 2040. At that time, renewables like solar &amp; wind and hydro will remain only <span style=\"color: #008000;\"><a style=\"color: #008000;\" href=\"#17pc\">17% of world energy<\/a>.<br \/>\n.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #003366;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Unlimited Coal in Asia<\/span>:<\/strong> Given the amount of coal in India, China and SE Asia (a 1,000 years worth), and demand for energy, the eia projection of no growth in use of coal is wildly optimistic.<br \/>\n.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #003366;\"><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>Cascading Climate Feedback:<\/strong><\/span> Here is a fact: There is a real probability that by 2040 there may be enough carbon in the air, say 500 ppm at today&#8217;s rate of emission, to have ALREADY caused cascading, accelerating climate change feedback loops. Yes, before 2040. Carbon matters now, not at some vague date in the future.<\/span> <span style=\"color: #003366;\">(see<\/span> <a href=\"\/climate-change\/hothouse-earth\">Hothouse Earth)<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #008000;\">Think of a scorched earth, not at +4 to +6 deg F,<br \/>\nbut at +20 deg F, in hotter regions. Uninhabitable.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>The probability of cascading climate change matters.<\/strong><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/feedback-672x182.jpg\"><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #003366;\"><strong>&#8220;Things are better in the world, on average&#8221;<br \/>\n<\/strong>While that may be true, it is not a protection from disaster<\/span><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #003366;\">A pandemic, a small one, like the Spanish flu, it is still a disaster<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #003366;\">It matters if people die in extreme weather. (Longer lifespans on average have no place in that conversation.) It matters that weather disaster costs are into the billions every year and rising, along with human costs of displacement, suffering, lost health or even death.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #003366;\">We have a massive extreme weather problem <strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><a style=\"color: #800000;\" href=\"#fire\">NOW<\/a>, in 2018<\/span>.<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a name=\"fire\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h5><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Here are the World&#8217;s Forest Fires, 2018<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/world-on-fire-petition.jpg\"><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Visit <strong><a style=\"color: #003366;\" href=\"https:\/\/voteclimatepac.org\/voters-guide\/\" target=\"blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Vote Climate US PAC:<\/a><\/strong> see Candidate positions on climate change, carbon fees \/ dividends, by state or by zip code.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h5><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Here is Aerosol Earth, 2018<\/span><\/h5>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">red &#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;.. black carbon from fires;<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #896aa8;\">violet &#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;. dust from drought;<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #3366ff;\">blue &#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;.. sea salt&nbsp; from typhoons<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/aerosol-earth.jpg\" width=\"387\" height=\"258\"><br \/>\n<a name=\"17pc\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h5><span style=\"color: #003366;\"><strong>&nbsp;Is the trend in energy use and carbon output slowing?<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"200\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\"><strong>2040 Energy Use Projection<br \/>\n<\/strong>.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #003366;\">It is hard to find a percentage for global solar and wind energy production. (Why is that?)<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #003366;\">.<br \/>\nSolar sits at around 1% in 2015; wind may be higher? On the right, they are combined with hydro (10%), as \u201crenewables\u201d.<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #003366;\">.<br \/>\nRenewables are growing, but remain a fraction of fossil fuels used by 2040, causing even more carbon emission than today,&nbsp; per the US energy info assoc. or US eia. Coal estimates are low, due to China &amp; India access &amp; demand.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #003366;\">.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #003366;\"><strong>Fossil fuel use grows, not slows.<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"250\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/outlooks\/ieo\/ieoarchive.php\" target=\"blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><b>eia projections<\/b><\/a>. download 2016<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/energy-types.jpg\" width=\"250\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #008000;\">The US eia has published charts for each energy type, seen on the link provided. The composite chart is revealing. It makes contributions to the total (by energy type) more obvious.<br \/>\n<strong>.<\/strong><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/energy-sources.jpg\" width=\"387\" height=\"228\"><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #008000;\">Per the US eia, <strong>Fossil fuel<\/strong> use grows from <\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #008000;\">480 quad BTUs in 2015 to <\/span><span style=\"color: #008000;\">575 in 2040 <\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #008000;\">A 95 quadrillion BTU increase, <\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #008000;\">or a <strong>20%<\/strong> increase over 25 years.<br \/>\n<strong>Increase, not decrease, in fossil fuel use<\/strong>.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #008000;\">Everything is NOT OK<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/planet-burn.jpg\" width=\"387\" height=\"210\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/loco2.jpg\" width=\"381\" height=\"114\"><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#top\">Return to the top<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Don&#8217;t Worry; Be Happy A book by V. Smil: Energy Transitions: Quote about the book &#8220;&#8230; an explanation of why efforts to limit global warming and to shift away from fossil fuels have been gradual&#8221; The implication (as I read it) is gradual change from fossil fuels to renewables is being monitored by experts &#8230; &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/?page_id=1582\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Everything is OK<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3097,"parent":578,"menu_order":1,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1582","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Everything is OK - RescueTheWorld.net<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The planet is at extreme risk\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/?page_id=1582\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Everything is OK - RescueTheWorld.net\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The planet is at extreme risk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/?page_id=1582\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"RescueTheWorld.net\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-03-02T22:24:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/rescuetheworld.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/earth-burn.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"672\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"221\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/?page_id=1582\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/?page_id=1582\",\"name\":\"Everything is OK - RescueTheWorld.net\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/?page_id=1582#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/?page_id=1582#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2019\\\/03\\\/earth-burn.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-09-02T21:05:18+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-03-02T22:24:03+00:00\",\"description\":\"The planet is at extreme risk\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/?page_id=1582#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/?page_id=1582\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/?page_id=1582#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2019\\\/03\\\/earth-burn.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2019\\\/03\\\/earth-burn.jpg\",\"width\":672,\"height\":221},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/?page_id=1582#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/rescuetheworld.net\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Home &#8211; 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